The Deyr 2015 rains have started in some parts of Somalia. In the coming three days, most parts of central regions are expected to receive rainfall totals of up to 20mm while the rest of the country will receive either little or no rains during the same period.

The study demonstrates the validity of using Landsat imagery to delineate fracture zones, hence areas of relatively higher groundwater potential. Recharge water is channeled along regional fractures that enhance hydraulic connectivity hence higher fluxes along these lineaments. The identification of the nearest lineaments to each village was done with the help of automatically generated lineaments and manual tracing on satellite imagery, to select potential geophysical survey sites within a 2-kilometer radius of each village.

An El Niño state occurs when the central and eastern equatorial Pacific sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) are substantially higher than usual. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) defines an El Niño event when the NIÑO 3.4 area has sea-surface temperatures at least 0.5 ºC higher than normal for five consecutive three-month-averaged periods. During the last 25 years, Somalia has been affected by six moderate-to-strong El Niño events: 1991-2, 1994-5, 1997-8, 2002-3, 2006-7, and 2009-10 in which floods of different magnitudes were reported. The 1997/98 was the strongest followed by that of 2006.

Fatahaaduhu waxay dhici karaan wakhti kaste iyo meel kaste.Waxayna u dhaci karaan si deg deg ah.Marka haddii aad ku nooshahay meel biyo u dhow ama meel kalaba, waa in aad u diyaargarowdaa.Halkan waxa ku jira waxyaabo muuhiim ah si aad ugu diyaargaroobi kartid.

The Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF) has confirmed that El Nino conditions have intensified and will affect the region during the September to December rainy season. The El Nino event is likely to lead to a wetter than normal Deyr season in parts of the country. This is a probabilistic forecast designed for a regional audience that addresses the cumulative rainfall forecast over the four‐month period from (September to December 2015). The rainfall pattern may vary from place to place with the areas expected to receive high rains experiencing periods of dry spells and areas expected to receive low rains experiencing heavy storms.

The Deyr 2015 (September to December) rainfall forecast points towards enhanced rainfall activities due to the foreseen El Nino event taking place in the region. The foreseen enhanced rains are likely to exacerbate the situation. Consequently, poor river embankments are likely to cause flooding, there are currently 47 open points along the Juba. Several other points with potential of breaking have been identified.

The Deyr 2015 (September to December) rainfall forecast points towards enhanced rainfall activities due to the foreseen El Nino event taking place in the region. The foreseen enhanced rains are likely to exacerbate the situation. Consequently, poor river embankments are likely to cause flooding, there are currently 21 open points along the Shabelle river. Several other points with potential of breaking have been identified as shown in this map.

Water is crucial for human sustenance, health and dignity; as a driver for business; for food and energy security; and for the ecosystems upon which our societies and continued development depend. For this report, we have invited a wide range of experts with different perspectives on water and development to share their thinking and propose new avenues for development. The topics addressed in the report include, among several others: the MDG progress and the future SDGs and the role of water in (and for) them; the need for more reduction of risks and disasters for improved water security; and the role of Information Communications Technology (ICT) for water and development. You can also read about the corporate perspective on water and development; as well as the important role of improved use of rain to provide for increased food security and poverty reduction in sub-Saharan Africa. At the core of SIWI’s work is sharing research results and knowledge. Our goal is that SIWI’s reports will enlighten and inspire the global discussion about water and development issues, thus helping to build a water wise world.

During the third dekad of May 2015 (21st – 31st), there was a slight increase of rainfall activities from the previous dekad across the country with most stations recording normal to below normal rains during the month of May.

During the week ending on 8th June 2015, there was minimal rainfall activity within the Juba and Shabelle river basins inside Somalia and light to moderate rains within the Ethiopian highlands. Most stations recorded no rains. The rainfall forecast for the coming week is pointing towards a further reduction of rains within the Juba and Shabelle river basins with lights rains expected in the coastal areas of the basins. The river levels along the two rivers fluctuated during the past week and are currently within the normal range at this time of the year. Given the rainfall forecast and the low river levels, there is no foreseen risk of flooding along the two rivers in the coming week.