According to NOAA-NCEP GFS, rainfall is expected over some parts of central Somalia with moderate intensity in parts of Hiraan, Middle Shabelle and Mudug regions. The north and southmost parts of the country are expected to remain dry. The spatial spread of the forecast rainfall conditions is as follows (Figure 1): Heavy rainfall of above 100 mm is likely over western parts of Bulo Burte district in Hiraan region. Moderate rainfall of between 50 and 100 mm is forecast over Jalalaqsi district in Hiraan region; northern parts of both Jowhar and Cadale districts in Middle Shabelle region; northern parts of Wanla Weyn district in Lower Shabelle region; Galdogob and western parts of Galkacyo district in Mudug region; and northeastern border areas of Xudur district with Ceel Barde district in Bakool region. The middle sections of the Shabelle River catchment within Somalia and its upper catchments in Ethiopia is also likely to observe rains of moderate amounts. Light rainfall of less than 50 mm is expected over most parts of Belet Weyne district in Hiraan region; Galkacyo, Hobyo and Xaradheere districts in Mudug region; Ceel Buur district in Galgaduud region; Adan Yabaal district in Middel Shabelle region; Wanla Weyn district in Lower Shabelle region; northern parts of Xudur district, eastern parts of Ceel Barde district and northern parts of Tayeeglow district in Bakool region; Ceel Waaq district and northern parts of Baardheere district in Gedo region and some localized parts of Bay region. Rainfall of lighter intensity is likely to be observed in areas adjacent to the above districts and regions including the middle sections of the Juba River catchment within Somalia and upper catchments outside the country. Most parts of the Shabelle River catchment in the Somalia-Ethiopia border are likely to receive similarly light rains. Dry conditions are likely over most parts of Somaliland including Awdal, Woqooyi Galbeed, Togdheer, Sool and Sanaag regions; Bari, Nugaal, Lower Juba, Middle Juba, Bay and Banadir regions; Belet Xaawo, Dollow and Luuq districts in Gedo region; Rab Dhuure and Waajid districts and southern parts of Xudur district in Bakool region; Sablaale, Baraawe, Kurtunwaarey, Qoryooley, Marka and Afgooye districts in Lower Shabelle region; Balcad district in Middle Shabelle region; central parts both Ceel Dheer and Ceel Buur districts and eastern parts of Dhuusamarreeb district in Galgaduud region; and Jariiban district in Mudug region. Similar dry conditions are likely over most areas in the lower sections of the Juba River catchment within Somalia.