The Somalia Water and Land Information Management (SWALIM) and the Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit (FSNAU) are pleased to share with you their joint publication: Somalia Drought Watch for October 2016. The key highlights are: 1). Moderate to Extreme drought conditions are being experienced in the country. The negative trends are not expected to reverse until the next rains, which are anticipated in April 2017. 2). During the month of October 2016, most parts of Somalia recorded poor rainfall amounts, with most regions registering 25 to 50 percent of average. 3). Vegetation conditions worsened and drought conditions strengthened and continued to affect pasture, water, livestock and crops, with vegetation cover (NDVI) 60 to 70 percent of average in southern regions. 4). Prospects of Deyr cereal production are bleak, with crop failure expected in many areas. 5). Juba and Shabelle river levels are currently below normal; the resulting competition for irrigation water is likely to lead to deliberate breakage of embankments, adversely affecting downstream users

A few pockets in the western parts of Somaliland and southern regions in Somalia will experience light rains while moderate to heavy rains are expected in the Ethiopian highlands in the coming three days. The rest of the country will remain dry in the same period.

The three days accumulated rainfall forecast is calling for light rains of up to 20mm in some parts of the southern regions of Somalia and the Ethiopian highlands . The rest of the country will remain dry during the forecast period.

The southern parts of the country and the upper catchments of the Juba and Shabelle Rivers at the Ethiopian highlands are expected to receive light to moderate rains in the coming three days. The northern parts of the country will remain dry in the same period.

There will be a significant reduction of rainfall activities in most parts of the country in the coming three days. Most areas in the country will remain dry with exception of the southern coast that may receive light rains.

Light scattered rains are expected in a few areas at the central and southern parts of the country, especially along the coast. The rest of the country will remain dry in the next three days. Light to moderate rains are expected at the Ethiopian highlands in the same period.

The northern and central parts of Somalia are expected to remain dry in the coming three days while the southern parts and the Ethiopian highlands will be expected to receive light to moderate rains during the same period.

Qaybo ka mid ah Soomaaliya waxaa la diiwaaniyey roobab dhexdhexaad ah intii lagu jirey halkii toddobaad ee danbe taas oo noqon karta suurogal bilowgii xilliga roobka Deyrta. Saadaasha roob da’a ku saabsan saddexda maalin ee soo xigta waxay tilmaamayaan khafiif ilaa dhexdhexad gudaha Puntland iyo Somaliland sidoo kale gudaha qaybaha kore ee dhulka-sare ee Itoobiya. Inta soo hartay dalka waxaa la filayaa in ay ahaato engegan inta lagu guda jiro muddada la midka ah.

The three days accumulated rainfall forecast is calling for light rains of up to 20mm in the southern parts of of Somalia and a few pockets of Bari region in the north. Moderate rains are expected in the Ethiopian highlands during the same period. The rest of the country will remain dry during the forecast period.

Some parts of the Somalia have recorded moderate rains within the last one week which marking a possible start of the Deyr rainy season. The rainfall forecast for the next three days points towards light to moderate in parts of Puntland and Bakool region in the south as well in the upper parts of the Ethiopian highlands. The rest of the country is expected to remain dry during the same period.