Deyr 2025 Seasonal Climate Outlook - Issued 6 October 2025
English
Rainfall Outlook
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Abstract:
After the GHACOF-71, the 2nd National Climate Outlook Forum (NCOF) for the October–December (Deyr) 2025 season was convened in Mogadishu, Somalia, from 2nd to 3rd September 2025 under the theme “Climate Science and Forecasting for a Resilient The major highlights were; Poor and late Deyr rains: Most of Somalia is forecast to receive below-normal rainfall, with a delayed onset, especially in the south. Hotter than usual: Above-average temperatures will worsen drought, water stress, and health risks Northern drought persists: Conditions in Somaliland and Puntland are expected to deteriorate further. Flood risks remain: Despite the dry forecast, localized flash floods and river overflows remain a threat in flood-prone areas Livelihoods at risk: Short and erratic rains will limit farming recovery and stress livestock. Therefore, urgent need for drought response in the north, safeguarding gains in the south, proactive flood, water, and health preparedness
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Date of publication:
October, 2025
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