The Shabelle River is now at a moderate flood-risk condition, following a steady rise in river levels over the past week. The most critical situation is at Belet Weyne, where the river level has reached 6.75 m, exceeding the moderate flood-risk threshold of 6.50 m by 0.25 m. This represents a weekly increase of 0.55 m, and the level is now 1.01 m above the same period in 2025 and 1.14 m above the long-term mean. Downstream, the river is also rising at Bulo Burte, where the current level is 5.74 m, which is still 0.76 m below the moderate flood-risk threshold of 6.50 m. However, the station has increased by 0.32 m over the past week, and is now 0.74 m above the 2025 level and 1.05 m above the long-term mean, indicating active downstream propagation of flood waters. At Jowhar, the river stands at 4.88 m, only 0.12 m below the moderate flood-risk threshold of 5.00 m. Although the level has slightly decreased by 0.02 m compared to last week, it remains flood-sensitive and vulnerable to additional upstream inflows, weak riverbanks, canal diversions, and local rainfall.